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ROU Romania Liga II · Fixture ·

CSM Olimpia Satu Mare vs CSM Resita

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.08 expected goals
Away form
Home win20%
Draw24%
Away win56%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win56% selection probability
Projected score1–2CSM Olimpia Satu MareCSM Resita
Expected goals3.08Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
20% / 24% / 56%Match resultAway win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CSM Olimpia Satu Mare win (19.8%)Double chanceX280.2%1.25
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
3.08 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CSM Olimpia Satu Mare win20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.4%-0.4 pp
CSM Resita win56%1.791.6255.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CSM Olimpia Satu Mare1.02

Home share of expected goals 33.1%

Total expected goals3.08Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

CSM Resita2.06

Away share of expected goals 66.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CSM Olimpia Satu Mare

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CSM Resita

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Win probability excluding draw
56%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
2.06
CSM Olimpia Satu MareCSM Resita
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CSM Olimpia Satu Mare signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CSM Resita signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

CSM Olimpia Satu Mare vs CSM Resita FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CSM Olimpia Satu Mare win 20%,Draw 24%,CSM Resita win 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over