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INT Czechia 4. Liga · Fixture ·

FK Kozlovice vs Bzenec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.90 expected goals
Away form
Home win58%
Draw22%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win58% selection probability
Projected score3–1FK KozloviceBzenec
Expected goals3.90Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 22% / 21%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bzenec win (20.5%)Double chance1X79.5%1.26
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.90 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapFK Kozlovice winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kozlovice win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Bzenec win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kozlovice2.80

Home share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.90Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

Bzenec1.10

Away share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Kozlovice

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Bzenec

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.80
Expected goals
1.10
FK KozloviceBzenec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kozlovice signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bzenec signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Kozlovice vs Bzenec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kozlovice win 58%,Draw 22%,Bzenec win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.90 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over