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Modena vs Vis Pesaro

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.33 expected goals
Away form
Home win67%
Draw20%
Away win13%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 67% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win67% selection probability
Projected score2–1ModenaVis Pesaro
Expected goals3.33Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
67% / 20% / 13%Match resultHome win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vis Pesaro win (13.4%)Double chance1X86.6%1.15
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.33 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Modena win67%1.491.3069.1%
Draw20%5.004.7518.9%
Vis Pesaro win13%7.697.5012%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modena2.19

Home share of expected goals 65.8%

Total expected goals3.33Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Vis Pesaro1.14

Away share of expected goals 34.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Modena

1.50pts / match
Played4Wins2Drawn0Losses2Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/4

Away-context · form sequence

Vis Pesaro

0.00pts / match
Played3Wins0Drawn0Losses3Points0

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
6
Points from supplied form
0
2.19
Expected goals
1.14
ModenaVis Pesaro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modena signalHome failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vis Pesaro signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Modena vs Vis Pesaro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modena win 67%,Draw 20%,Vis Pesaro win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over