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EUR Europe Friendlies · Fixture ·

UCAM Murcia CF vs Orihuela

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.28 expected goals
Away form
Home win55%
Draw25%
Away win20%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win55% selection probability
Projected score2–1UCAM Murcia CFOrihuela
Expected goals3.28Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 25% / 20%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Orihuela win (20%)Double chance1X80%1.25
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.28 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UCAM Murcia CF win55%1.821.6255.4%
Draw25%4.003.5025.7%
Orihuela win20%5.004.7518.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UCAM Murcia CF1.99

Home share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals3.28Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Orihuela1.29

Away share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

UCAM Murcia CF

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Orihuela

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.99
Expected goals
1.29
UCAM Murcia CFOrihuela
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UCAM Murcia CF signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Orihuela signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

UCAM Murcia CF vs Orihuela FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UCAM Murcia CF win 55%,Draw 25%,Orihuela win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.28 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over