What is the Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 61%.

What are the Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero 1X2 probabilities?

Alcorcon win 61%, draw 22%, and Navalcarnero win 18%.

How many goals are expected in Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero?

The displayed projection is 3.30 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 64%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

EUR Europe Friendlies · Fixture · Sat, Aug 8, 16:00

Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero

Market-based forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score2–13.30 expected goals

Away form

Home win61%

Draw22%

Away win18%

Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 61% selection probability

Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability

Projected score2–1Alcorcon — Navalcarnero

Expected goals3.30Open match profile

Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side

Expected corners8.1Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

61% / 22% / 18%Match resultHome win61%1.64

Derived from 1X2 · excludes Navalcarnero win (17.6%)Double chance1X82.4%1.21

Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56

Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56

3.30 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——

8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Alcorcon win61%1.641.4462.3%—

Draw22%4.554.2021.4%—

Navalcarnero win18%5.565.5016.3%—

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alcorcon2.08

Home share of expected goals 63%

Total expected goals3.30Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Navalcarnero1.22

Away share of expected goals 37%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Alcorcon

1.60pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Navalcarnero

2.25pts / match

Played4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Points9

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

61%

Win probability excluding draw

18%

Points from supplied form

2.08

Expected goals

1.22

AlcorconNavalcarnero

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alcorcon signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Navalcarnero signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions