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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Elana Torun vs Gedania Gdansk

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw25%
Away win34%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Elana TorunGedania Gdansk
Expected goals3.21Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 25% / 34%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Double chance1275.2%1.33
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.21 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elana Torun win41%2.442.2040.9%
Draw25%4.003.6025%
Gedania Gdansk win34%2.942.6334.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elana Torun1.71

Home share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals3.21Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Gedania Gdansk1.50

Away share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Elana Torun

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gedania Gdansk

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.71
Expected goals
1.50
Elana TorunGedania Gdansk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elana Torun signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gedania Gdansk signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Elana Torun vs Gedania Gdansk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elana Torun win 41%,Draw 25%,Gedania Gdansk win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over