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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Fixture ·

VfB Stuttgart vs Everton

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw24%
Away win33%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score2–1VfB StuttgartEverton
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 24% / 33%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.95 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
VfB Stuttgart win43%2.332.1043.1%
Draw24%4.173.7024.5%
Everton win33%3.032.8032.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VfB Stuttgart1.58

Home share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Everton1.37

Away share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

VfB Stuttgart

2.00pts / match
Played3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Points6

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Everton

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway won 2/5 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.37
VfB StuttgartEverton
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VfB Stuttgart signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Everton signalAway won 2/5 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

VfB Stuttgart vs Everton FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VfB Stuttgart win 43%,Draw 24%,Everton win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over