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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Fixture ·

Brighton vs Roma

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw25%
Away win36%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score2–1BrightonRoma
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 25% / 36%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Double chance1275.1%1.33
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.95 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Brighton win39%2.562.3039.1%
Draw25%4.003.6025%
Roma win36%2.782.5036%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Brighton1.52

Home share of expected goals 51.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Roma1.43

Away share of expected goals 48.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Brighton

2.25pts / match
Played4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Points9

SignalHome won 3/4

Away-context · form sequence

Roma

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.52
Expected goals
1.43
BrightonRoma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Brighton signalHome won 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Roma signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Brighton vs Roma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Brighton win 39%,Draw 25%,Roma win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over