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AUT Austria Landesliga · Fixture ·

ATUS Ferlach vs TSU Matrei

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.12 expected goals
Away form
Home win52%
Draw29%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win52% selection probability
Projected score2–1ATUS FerlachTSU Matrei
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 29% / 19%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes TSU Matrei win (18.7%)Double chance1X81.3%1.23
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
2.12 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
ATUS Ferlach win52%1.92
Draw29%3.45
TSU Matrei win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ATUS Ferlach1.54

Home share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

TSU Matrei0.58

Away share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

ATUS Ferlach

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

TSU Matrei

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.54
Expected goals
0.58
ATUS FerlachTSU Matrei
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ATUS Ferlach signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02TSU Matrei signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ATUS Ferlach vs TSU Matrei FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ATUS Ferlach win 52%,Draw 29%,TSU Matrei win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under