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COL Colombia U19 Championship · Fixture ·

Atletico Nacional U19 vs Leones U19

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Away form
Home win56%
Draw22%
Away win21%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Atletico Nacional U19Leones U19
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 22% / 21%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Leones U19 win (21.1%)Double chance1X78.9%1.27
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.98 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Nacional U19 win56%1.791.5757%
Draw22%4.554.0022.4%
Leones U19 win21%4.764.3320.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Nacional U191.87

Home share of expected goals 62.8%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Leones U191.11

Away share of expected goals 37.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Atletico Nacional U19

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Leones U19

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
13
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
1.11
Atletico Nacional U19Leones U19
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Nacional U19 signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leones U19 signalHome clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Atletico Nacional U19 vs Leones U19 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Nacional U19 win 56%,Draw 22%,Leones U19 win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over