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ZAF South Africa Premier · Final ·

Durban City vs Richards Bay FC

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win37%
Draw37%
Away win26%
Full model forecastDrawTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDraw37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Durban CityRichards Bay FC
Expected goals1.42Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under83% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo75% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 37% / 26%Match resultDraw37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Richards Bay FC win (26.3%)Double chance1X73.7%1.36
Over 17% · Under 83%Goals 2.5Under83%1.20
Yes 25% · No 75%Both teams scoreNo75%1.33
1.42 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Durban City win37%2.70
Draw37%2.70
Richards Bay FC win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Durban City0.83

Home share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals1.42Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 17% · Under 83%

Richards Bay FC0.59

Away share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 25% · No 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Durban City

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Richards Bay FC

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
3
0.83
Expected goals
0.59
Durban CityRichards Bay FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Durban City signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Richards Bay FC signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 37%.

Match questions

Durban City vs Richards Bay FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Draw · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Durban City win 37%,Draw 37%,Richards Bay FC win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.42 · Over 2.5 17% · Current selection Under