MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
INT Australia New South Wales League 1 · Final ·

Blacktown Spartans vs Inter Lions

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win63%
Draw20%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 63% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Blacktown SpartansInter Lions
Expected goals3.36Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
63% / 20% / 17%Match resultHome win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Inter Lions win (17.4%)Double chance1X82.6%1.21
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
3.36 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapInter Lions winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Blacktown Spartans win63%1.591.4462.2%+0.8 pp
Draw20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
Inter Lions win17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Blacktown Spartans2.44

Home share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.36Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Inter Lions0.92

Away share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Blacktown Spartans

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Inter Lions

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
15
Points from supplied form
5
2.44
Expected goals
0.92
Blacktown SpartansInter Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Blacktown Spartans signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Inter Lions signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Blacktown Spartans vs Inter Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Blacktown Spartans win 63%,Draw 20%,Inter Lions win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over