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INT UEFA Conference League Qualifying · Fixture ·

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.71 expected goals
Away form
Home win21%
Draw27%
Away win51%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win51% selection probability
Projected score1–2CSKA 1948 SofiaPanathinaikos
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
21% / 27% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CSKA 1948 Sofia win (21.3%)Double chanceX278.7%1.27
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.71 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CSKA 1948 Sofia win21%4.764.7519.3%
Draw27%3.703.4026.9%
Panathinaikos win51%1.961.7053.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CSKA 1948 Sofia1.14

Home share of expected goals 42.1%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Panathinaikos1.57

Away share of expected goals 57.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CSKA 1948 Sofia

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Panathinaikos

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Win probability excluding draw
51%
11
Points from supplied form
9
1.14
Expected goals
1.57
CSKA 1948 SofiaPanathinaikos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CSKA 1948 Sofia signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Panathinaikos signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CSKA 1948 Sofia win 21%,Draw 27%,Panathinaikos win 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over