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ESP Spain Segunda · Fixture ·

Real Oviedo vs Granada

Archived pre-match prediction

Home form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw26%
Away win31%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Real OviedoGranada
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 26% / 31%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Real Oviedo win43%2.33
Draw26%3.85
Granada win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Oviedo1.45

Home share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Granada1.17

Away share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Real Oviedo

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Granada

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.45
Expected goals
1.17
Real OviedoGranada
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Oviedo signalHome failed to score: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Granada signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Real Oviedo vs Granada FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Oviedo win 43%,Draw 26%,Granada win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under