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POL Poland II Liga · Fixture ·

Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.02 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw27%
Away win33%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Chojniczanka ChojniceStal Stalowa Wola
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 27% / 33%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Double chance1273.1%1.37
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.02 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapStal Stalowa Wola winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chojniczanka Chojnice win40%2.502.2040.5%-0.5 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
Stal Stalowa Wola win33%3.032.7532.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chojniczanka Chojnice1.52

Home share of expected goals 50.3%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Stal Stalowa Wola1.50

Away share of expected goals 49.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Chojniczanka Chojnice

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Stal Stalowa Wola

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.52
Expected goals
1.50
Chojniczanka ChojniceStal Stalowa Wola
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chojniczanka Chojnice signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stal Stalowa Wola signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chojniczanka Chojnice win 40%,Draw 27%,Stal Stalowa Wola win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over