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AUT Austria 2. Liga · Round 3 ·

SKU Amstetten vs Hertha Wels

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw28%
Away win31%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score2–1SKU AmstettenHertha Wels
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 28% / 31%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
SKU Amstetten win42%2.38
Draw28%3.57
Hertha Wels win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SKU Amstetten1.63

Home share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Hertha Wels1.25

Away share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

SKU Amstetten

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hertha Wels

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.63
Expected goals
1.25
SKU AmstettenHertha Wels
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SKU Amstetten signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hertha Wels signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

SKU Amstetten vs Hertha Wels FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SKU Amstetten win 42%,Draw 28%,Hertha Wels win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over