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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Fixture ·

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Tirol

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.67 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw26%
Away win32%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Austria LustenauWSG Tirol
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 26% / 32%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Double chance1274.2%1.35
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.67 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Austria Lustenau win43%2.33
Draw26%3.85
WSG Tirol win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Austria Lustenau1.45

Home share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

WSG Tirol1.22

Away share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Austria Lustenau

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway failed to score: 2/4

Away-context · form sequence

WSG Tirol

0.50pts / match
Played4Wins0Drawn2Losses2Points2

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.45
Expected goals
1.22
Austria LustenauWSG Tirol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Austria Lustenau signalAway failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02WSG Tirol signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Tirol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Austria Lustenau win 43%,Draw 26%,WSG Tirol win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under