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SCO Scotland League Cup · Fixture ·

Hearts vs Inverness CT

Archived pre-match prediction

Home form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw24%
Away win31%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score2–1HeartsInverness CT
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 24% / 31%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Double chance1275.6%1.32
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.91 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Hearts win45%2.22
Draw24%4.17
Inverness CT win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hearts1.62

Home share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Inverness CT1.29

Away share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Hearts

0.25pts / match
Played4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 2/4

Away-context · form sequence

Inverness CT

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
1
Points from supplied form
13
1.62
Expected goals
1.29
HeartsInverness CT
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hearts signalHome failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Inverness CT signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Hearts vs Inverness CT FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hearts win 45%,Draw 24%,Inverness CT win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over