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SVK Slovakia 2. Liga · Fixture ·

MSK Zilina B vs FK Pohronie

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.34 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw26%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score1–2MSK Zilina BFK Pohronie
Expected goals3.34Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 26% / 32%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Double chance1273.8%1.36
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.34 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
11.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapFK Pohronie winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Zilina B win42%2.382.1542.9%-0.9 pp
Draw26%3.853.5026.4%-0.4 pp
FK Pohronie win32%3.133.0030.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Zilina B1.47

Home share of expected goals 44%

Total expected goals3.34Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

FK Pohronie1.87

Away share of expected goals 56%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MSK Zilina B

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Pohronie

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.47
Expected goals
1.87
MSK Zilina BFK Pohronie
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Zilina B signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Pohronie signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

MSK Zilina B vs FK Pohronie FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Zilina B win 42%,Draw 26%,FK Pohronie win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.34 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over