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DEU Germany Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

Cottbus vs Hannover 96

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.87 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw25%
Away win31%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score2–1CottbusHannover 96
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 25% / 31%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.87 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Cottbus win44%2.27
Draw25%4.00
Hannover 96 win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cottbus1.58

Home share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Hannover 961.29

Away share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cottbus

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hannover 96

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.58
Expected goals
1.29
CottbusHannover 96
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cottbus signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hannover 96 signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Cottbus vs Hannover 96 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cottbus win 44%,Draw 25%,Hannover 96 win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over