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ENG England Championship · Round 1 ·

Burnley vs West Ham

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw27%
Away win42%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1BurnleyWest Ham
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 27% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Double chance1273.1%1.37
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Burnley win31%3.233.1030.4%
Draw27%3.703.5026.9%
West Ham win42%2.382.2042.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Burnley1.22

Home share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

West Ham1.35

Away share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Burnley

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

West Ham

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
42%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.22
Expected goals
1.35
BurnleyWest Ham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Burnley signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02West Ham signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Burnley vs West Ham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Burnley win 31%,Draw 27%,West Ham win 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under