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レスター vs ノーサンプトン

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利37%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利37%
Baseline forecastアウェイ勝利Tier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–1レスターノーサンプトン
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
37% / 26% / 37%試合結果アウェイ勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)ダブルチャンス1274.2%1.35
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
2.70 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
レスター win37%2.70
引き分け26%3.85
ノーサンプトン win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

レスター1.34

ホーム share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

ノーサンプトン1.36

アウェイ share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

レスター

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ノーサンプトン

0.50pts / match
試合数2Wins0Drawn1Losses1ポイント1

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
勝ち probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
1
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
レスターノーサンプトン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01レスター signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ノーサンプトン signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

レスター vs ノーサンプトン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

レスター 勝ち 37%,引き分け 26%,ノーサンプトン 勝ち 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー