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ギーズリー vs ウォリントンタウン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利31%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ギーズリーウォリントンタウン
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 29% / 31%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)ダブルチャンス1270.9%1.41
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 52% · いいえ 48%両チーム得点はい52%1.92
2.56 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ギーズリー win40%2.50
引き分け29%3.45
ウォリントンタウン win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ギーズリー1.42

ホーム share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%

ウォリントンタウン1.14

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 52% · いいえ 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ギーズリー

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ウォリントンタウン

0.20pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn1Losses4ポイント1

Signalアウェイ failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.42
Expected goals
1.14
ギーズリーウォリントンタウン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ギーズリー signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ウォリントンタウン signalアウェイ failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ギーズリー vs ウォリントンタウン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ギーズリー 勝ち 40%,引き分け 29%,ウォリントンタウン 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー