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CHN 中国 ディビジョン2 · 試合 ·

廈門飛鷺 vs 広州安華

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利49%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利23%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利49% selection probability
Projected score2–1廈門飛鷺広州安華
Expected goals3.22始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
49% / 28% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 広州安華 win (22.5%)ダブルチャンス1X77.5%1.29
オーバー 62% · アンダー 38%Goals 2.5オーバー62%1.61
はい 61% · いいえ 39%両チーム得点はい61%1.64
3.22 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-1.0 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
廈門飛鷺 win49%2.041.8548.6%+0.4 pp
引き分け28%3.573.1029%-1.0 pp
広州安華 win23%4.354.0022.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

廈門飛鷺1.99

ホーム share of expected goals 61.8%

Total expected goals3.22始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 62% · アンダー 38%

広州安華1.23

アウェイ share of expected goals 38.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 61% · いいえ 39%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

廈門飛鷺

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

広州安華

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
2
Points from supplied form
2
1.99
Expected goals
1.23
廈門飛鷺広州安華
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01廈門飛鷺 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02広州安華 signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

廈門飛鷺 vs 広州安華 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

廈門飛鷺 勝ち 49%,引き分け 28%,広州安華 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · オーバー 2.5 62% · Current selection オーバー