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PRT ポルトガル 国内選手権 · Final ·

ファティマ vs マルベイラ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score5–0予想 1–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利37%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利32%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ファティママルベイラ
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー69% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
37% / 30% / 32%試合結果ホーム勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)ダブルチャンス1269.6%1.44
オーバー 31% · アンダー 69%Goals 2.5アンダー69%1.45
はい 36% · いいえ 64%両チーム得点いいえ64%1.56
1.94 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapマルベイラ winDifference-1.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ファティマ win37%2.702.5036.2%+0.8 pp
引き分け30%3.333.0030.2%-0.2 pp
マルベイラ win32%3.132.7033.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ファティマ1.24

ホーム share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 31% · アンダー 69%

マルベイラ0.70

アウェイ share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 36% · いいえ 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ファティマ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

マルベイラ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
勝ち probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.24
Expected goals
0.70
ファティママルベイラ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ファティマ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02マルベイラ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ファティマ vs マルベイラ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ファティマ 勝ち 37%,引き分け 30%,マルベイラ 勝ち 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · オーバー 2.5 31% · Current selection アンダー