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バリータウン vs ヘールズオウェン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利34%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利41%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利41% selection probability
Projected score1–1バリータウンヘールズオウェン
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
34% / 25% / 41%試合結果アウェイ勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)ダブルチャンス1275.1%1.33
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 54% · いいえ 46%両チーム得点はい54%1.85
2.65 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapヘールズオウェン winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
バリータウン win34%2.942.6333.9%+0.1 pp
引き分け25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
ヘールズオウェン win41%2.442.1541.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

バリータウン1.23

ホーム share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

ヘールズオウェン1.42

アウェイ share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 54% · いいえ 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

バリータウン

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヘールズオウェン

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
勝ち probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.42
バリータウンヘールズオウェン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01バリータウン signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヘールズオウェン signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

バリータウン vs ヘールズオウェン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

バリータウン 勝ち 34%,引き分け 25%,ヘールズオウェン 勝ち 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー