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INT エリートクラブ親善試合 · 試合 ·

チェルシー vs ACミラン

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利35%
Baseline forecastホーム勝利Tier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score2–1チェルシーACミラン
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 25% / 35%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)ダブルチャンス1275.5%1.32
オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%Goals 2.5オーバー56%1.79
はい 59% · いいえ 41%両チーム得点はい59%1.69
2.95 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
チェルシー win41%2.44
引き分け25%4.00
ACミラン win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

チェルシー1.54

ホーム share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%

ACミラン1.41

アウェイ share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 59% · いいえ 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

チェルシー

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ACミラン

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
35%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.54
Expected goals
1.41
チェルシーACミラン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01チェルシー signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ACミラン signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

チェルシー vs ACミラン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

チェルシー 勝ち 41%,引き分け 25%,ACミラン 勝ち 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · オーバー 2.5 56% · Current selection オーバー