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MODEL ACCOUNTABILITY

Every verified call stays in the record.

Review each prediction market separately. Every figure compares calls made before kickoff with confirmed match data and includes both hits and misses.

Recent verified Corner sample46latest settled predictions
Won / lost27 / 19pushes excluded from the rate
Corner-total hit rate59%
Average selected probability59%shown before kickoff
Calibration gap-0.6 pphit rate minus stated probability
Review window07 ago 2026 — 07 ago 2026recent sample, not a lifetime claim
Confidence check

Does confidence match outcomes?

One Corner call per completed match
Selected probabilitySampleAverage statedActual hit rateDifference
50–54%1552%67%+14.4 pp
55–59%957%56%-1.5 pp
60–64%962%56%-6.8 pp
65% and above1367%54%-13.0 pp

These figures cover the latest 46 settled Corner predictions, up to a maximum of 200. Small groups can move sharply and do not guarantee future results.

01

Set before kickoff

Each prediction and probability is recorded before the match starts.

02

Show sample size

Hit rate is displayed with the number of completed predictions and the exact review window.

03

Keep the misses

Finished match pages show the original prediction alongside the final result.

04

Respect calibration

A useful probability should match outcomes over enough comparable forecasts, not just sound confident.