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DNK Danimarca - 3ª divisione · Round 4 ·

ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.89 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa34%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite40%
Market-based forecastVittoria ospiteTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ASA AarhusHolstebro
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
34% / 25% / 40%Esito partitaVittoria ospite40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Doppia Chance1274.5%1.34
Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%Goals 2.5Sopra55%1.82
Sì 59% · No 41%Entrambe le squadre segnano59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ASA Aarhus win34%2.942.7033%
Pareggio25%4.003.5025.5%
Holstebro win40%2.502.1541.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ASA Aarhus1.44

Casa share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%

Holstebro1.45

Trasferta share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

ASA Aarhus

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Holstebro

1.75pts / match
Giocate4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vinta probability excluding draw
40%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.44
Expected goals
1.45
ASA AarhusHolstebro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ASA Aarhus signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holstebro signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ASA Aarhus vinta 34%,Pareggio 25%,Holstebro vinta 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Sopra 2.5 55% · Current selection Sopra