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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Partita ·

Leones de Rosario vs Deportivo Muniz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.72 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa53%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite18%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa53% selection probability
Projected score1–1Leones de RosarioDeportivo Muniz
Expected goals1.72Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto75% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo71% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 29% / 18%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Muniz win (17.7%)Doppia Chance1X82.3%1.22
Sopra 25% · Sotto 75%Goals 2.5Sotto75%1.33
Sì 29% · No 71%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo71%1.41
1.72 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapLeones de Rosario winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leones de Rosario win53%1.891.6753.4%-0.4 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Deportivo Muniz win18%5.565.0017.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leones de Rosario1.19

Casa share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 25% · Sotto 75%

Deportivo Muniz0.53

Trasferta share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 29% · No 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Leones de Rosario

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Deportivo Muniz

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
18%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
0.53
Leones de RosarioDeportivo Muniz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leones de Rosario signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Muniz signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Leones de Rosario vs Deportivo Muniz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leones de Rosario vinta 53%,Pareggio 29%,Deportivo Muniz vinta 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.72 · Sopra 2.5 25% · Current selection Sotto