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SWE Svezia - 2ª Divisione Norra Götaland · Partita ·

Herrestads AIF vs Vänersborgs IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–14.24 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa64%
Pareggio18%
Vittoria ospite17%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa64% selection probability
Projected score3–1Herrestads AIFVänersborgs IF
Expected goals4.24Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra79% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
64% / 18% / 17%Esito partitaVittoria casa64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vänersborgs IF win (17.2%)Doppia Chance1X82.8%1.21
Sopra 79% · Sotto 21%Goals 2.5Sopra79%1.27
Sì 64% · No 36%Entrambe le squadre segnano64%1.56
4.24 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Herrestads AIF win64%1.561.4263.2%+0.8 pp
Pareggio18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp
Vänersborgs IF win17%5.885.0017.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Herrestads AIF3.12

Casa share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals4.24Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 79% · Sotto 21%

Vänersborgs IF1.12

Trasferta share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Herrestads AIF

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Vänersborgs IF

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Vinta probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
4
3.12
Expected goals
1.12
Herrestads AIFVänersborgs IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Herrestads AIF signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vänersborgs IF signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Herrestads AIF vs Vänersborgs IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Herrestads AIF vinta 64%,Pareggio 18%,Vänersborgs IF vinta 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.24 · Sopra 2.5 79% · Current selection Sopra