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CHE Svizzera - Promozione 1.Liga · Partita ·

Bavois vs FC Zurigo II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa52%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite25%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa52% selection probability
Projected score2–1BavoisFC Zurigo II
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
52% / 23% / 25%Esito partitaVittoria casa52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Doppia Chance1276.9%1.30
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.53 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapBavois winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bavois win52%1.921.7551.3%+0.7 pp
Pareggio23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
FC Zurigo II win25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bavois1.77

Casa share of expected goals 70%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%

FC Zurigo II0.76

Trasferta share of expected goals 30%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Bavois

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FC Zurigo II

0.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punti0

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vinta probability excluding draw
25%
13
Points from supplied form
0
1.77
Expected goals
0.76
BavoisFC Zurigo II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bavois signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Zurigo II signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Bavois vs FC Zurigo II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bavois vinta 52%,Pareggio 23%,FC Zurigo II vinta 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto