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INT Australia - NPL Queensland U23 · Partita ·

Gold Coast Knights U23 vs Peninsula Power U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.34 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa61%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite17%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Gold Coast Knights U23Peninsula Power U23
Expected goals3.34Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra65% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
61% / 23% / 17%Esito partitaVittoria casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Peninsula Power U23 win (16.6%)Doppia Chance1X83.4%1.20
Sopra 65% · Sotto 35%Goals 2.5Sopra65%1.54
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
3.34 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Gold Coast Knights U23 win61%1.64
Pareggio23%4.35
Peninsula Power U23 win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gold Coast Knights U232.48

Casa share of expected goals 74.3%

Total expected goals3.34Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 65% · Sotto 35%

Peninsula Power U230.86

Trasferta share of expected goals 25.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Gold Coast Knights U23

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Peninsula Power U23

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vinta probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
2
2.48
Expected goals
0.86
Gold Coast Knights U23Peninsula Power U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gold Coast Knights U23 signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Peninsula Power U23 signalCasa won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Gold Coast Knights U23 vs Peninsula Power U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gold Coast Knights U23 vinta 61%,Pareggio 23%,Peninsula Power U23 vinta 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.34 · Sopra 2.5 65% · Current selection Sopra