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HUN Hungary NB III · Partita ·

Monori SE vs Csepel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.42 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa55%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite23%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Monori SECsepel
Expected goals3.42Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra66% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
55% / 22% / 23%Esito partitaVittoria casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Doppia Chance1277.7%1.29
Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%Goals 2.5Sopra66%1.52
Sì 66% · No 34%Entrambe le squadre segnano66%1.52
3.42 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapCsepel winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monori SE win55%1.821.6255.2%-0.2 pp
Pareggio22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Csepel win23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monori SE2.01

Casa share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals3.42Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%

Csepel1.41

Trasferta share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 66% · No 34%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Monori SE

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Csepel

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vinta probability excluding draw
23%
1
Points from supplied form
7
2.01
Expected goals
1.41
Monori SECsepel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monori SE signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Csepel signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Monori SE vs Csepel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monori SE vinta 55%,Pareggio 22%,Csepel vinta 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Sopra 2.5 66% · Current selection Sopra