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CHN China Division 2 · Partita ·

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa29%
Pareggio35%
Vittoria ospite36%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Wuhan Three Towns ReservesJiangxi Lushan
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto76% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
29% / 35% / 36%Esito partitaVittoria ospite36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wuhan Three Towns Reserves win (29.2%)Doppia ChanceX270.8%1.41
Sopra 24% · Sotto 76%Goals 2.5Sotto76%1.32
Sì 32% · No 68%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo68%1.47
1.68 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves win29%3.45
Pareggio35%2.86
Jiangxi Lushan win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0.75

Casa share of expected goals 44.6%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 24% · Sotto 76%

Jiangxi Lushan0.93

Trasferta share of expected goals 55.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Jiangxi Lushan

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vinta probability excluding draw
36%
10
Points from supplied form
5
0.75
Expected goals
0.93
Wuhan Three Towns ReservesJiangxi Lushan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wuhan Three Towns Reserves signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jiangxi Lushan signalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vinta 29%,Pareggio 35%,Jiangxi Lushan vinta 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Sopra 2.5 24% · Current selection Sotto