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ITA Italia - Serie C - Girone A · Partita ·

Pro Vercelli vs Desenzano

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa43%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite28%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pro VercelliDesenzano
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
43% / 29% / 28%Esito partitaVittoria casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Desenzano win (27.9%)Doppia Chance1X72.1%1.39
Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%Goals 2.5Sotto58%1.72
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pro Vercelli win43%2.332.0543.6%
Pareggio29%3.453.1028.9%
Desenzano win28%3.573.2527.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pro Vercelli1.32

Casa share of expected goals 55.9%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%

Desenzano1.04

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Pro Vercelli

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Desenzano

2.00pts / match
Giocate2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vinta probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.32
Expected goals
1.04
Pro VercelliDesenzano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pro Vercelli signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Desenzano signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Pro Vercelli vs Desenzano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pro Vercelli vinta 43%,Pareggio 29%,Desenzano vinta 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Sopra 2.5 42% · Current selection Sotto