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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Final ·

Nublense vs Union La Calera

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score2–1Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa53%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite19%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1NublenseUnion La Calera
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 27% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union La Calera win (19.5%)Doppia Chance1X80.5%1.24
Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%Goals 2.5Sotto53%1.89
Sì 47% · No 53%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53%1.89
2.54 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapUnion La Calera winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nublense win53%1.891.7553.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.4027.3%-0.3 pp
Union La Calera win19%5.264.7519.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nublense1.69

Casa share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%

Union La Calera0.85

Trasferta share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Nublense

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Union La Calera

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.69
Expected goals
0.85
NublenseUnion La Calera
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nublense signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union La Calera signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Nublense vs Union La Calera FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nublense vinta 53%,Pareggio 27%,Union La Calera vinta 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Sopra 2.5 47% · Current selection Sotto