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INT Bulgaria Second League · Partita ·

Rilski Sportist vs Spartak Pleven

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite29%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Rilski SportistSpartak Pleven
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 27% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Doppia Chance1273.5%1.36
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnano50%2.00
2.51 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Rilski Sportist win44%2.27
Pareggio27%3.70
Spartak Pleven win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rilski Sportist1.41

Casa share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%

Spartak Pleven1.10

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Rilski Sportist

0.00pts / match
Giocate2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Punti0

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/2

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Spartak Pleven

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
0
Points from supplied form
12
1.41
Expected goals
1.10
Rilski SportistSpartak Pleven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rilski Sportist signalCasa failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spartak Pleven signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Rilski Sportist vs Spartak Pleven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rilski Sportist vinta 44%,Pareggio 27%,Spartak Pleven vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto