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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eredivisie · Partita ·

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.82 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa45%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite29%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa45% selection probability
Projected score2–1TelstarSparta Rotterdam
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
45% / 26% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Doppia Chance1274.1%1.35
Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%Goals 2.5Sopra53%1.89
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnano52%1.92
2.82 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapTelstar winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Telstar win45%2.222.1543.7%+1.3 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Sparta Rotterdam win29%3.453.1030.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Telstar1.89

Casa share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%

Sparta Rotterdam0.93

Trasferta share of expected goals 33%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Telstar

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sparta Rotterdam

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
13
Points from supplied form
1
1.89
Expected goals
0.93
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Telstar signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sparta Rotterdam signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Telstar vinta 45%,Pareggio 26%,Sparta Rotterdam vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Sopra 2.5 53% · Current selection Sopra