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SCO Scozia - Championship · Partita ·

Stenhousemuir vs Morton

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa43%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite30%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa43% selection probability
Projected score1–1StenhousemuirMorton
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
43% / 27% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Doppia Chance1272.8%1.37
Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%Goals 2.5Sotto56%1.79
Sì 49% · No 51%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51%1.96
2.42 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Stenhousemuir win43%2.33
Pareggio27%3.70
Morton win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stenhousemuir1.34

Casa share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%

Morton1.08

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Stenhousemuir

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Morton

0.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punti0

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.34
Expected goals
1.08
StenhousemuirMorton
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stenhousemuir signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Morton signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Stenhousemuir vs Morton FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stenhousemuir vinta 43%,Pareggio 27%,Morton vinta 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Sopra 2.5 44% · Current selection Sotto