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ENG Inghilterra - Northern Premier League · Partita ·

Leek Town vs Whitby

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa48%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite28%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Leek TownWhitby
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 25% / 28%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doppia Chance1275.3%1.33
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapWhitby winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leek Town win48%2.081.8548.5%-0.5 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.7024.3%+0.7 pp
Whitby win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leek Town1.18

Casa share of expected goals 52.4%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%

Whitby1.07

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Leek Town

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Whitby

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.18
Expected goals
1.07
Leek TownWhitby
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leek Town signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Whitby signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Leek Town vs Whitby FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leek Town vinta 48%,Pareggio 25%,Whitby vinta 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto