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USA USA USL Championship · Partita ·

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.73 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa40%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miami FCLas Vegas Lights FC
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 26% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Doppia Chance1274.4%1.34
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 56% · No 44%Entrambe le squadre segnano56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapMiami FC winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Miami FC win40%2.502.2040.6%-0.6 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Las Vegas Lights FC win34%2.942.6333.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miami FC1.39

Casa share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Las Vegas Lights FC1.34

Trasferta share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Miami FC

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Las Vegas Lights FC

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.39
Expected goals
1.34
Miami FCLas Vegas Lights FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miami FC signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Las Vegas Lights FC signalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miami FC vinta 40%,Pareggio 26%,Las Vegas Lights FC vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra