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ENG Inghilterra - EFL Cup · Partita ·

Swansea vs Birmingham

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa33%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite40%
Market-based forecastVittoria ospiteTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SwanseaBirmingham
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra50% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
33% / 26% / 40%Esito partitaVittoria ospite40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Doppia Chance1273.6%1.36
Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%Goals 2.5Sopra50%2.00
Sì 55% · No 45%Entrambe le squadre segnano55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swansea win33%3.032.8033.1%
Pareggio26%3.853.5026.5%
Birmingham win40%2.502.3040.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swansea1.29

Casa share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%

Birmingham1.40

Trasferta share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Swansea

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Birmingham

1.33pts / match
Giocate3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vinta probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.29
Expected goals
1.40
SwanseaBirmingham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swansea signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Birmingham signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Swansea vs Birmingham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swansea vinta 33%,Pareggio 26%,Birmingham vinta 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Sopra 2.5 50% · Current selection Sopra