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FIN Finlandia - Kolmonen · Final ·

SalPa 2 vs ACF

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score3–2Pronostico 3–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa76%
Pareggio14%
Vittoria ospite10%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 76% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa76% selection probability
Projected score3–1SalPa 2ACF
Expected goals3.39Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra66% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
76% / 14% / 10%Esito partitaVittoria casa76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ACF win (10.2%)Doppia Chance1X89.8%1.11
Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%Goals 2.5Sopra66%1.52
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
3.39 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapSalPa 2 winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SalPa 2 win76%1.321.2075.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio14%7.146.5014%0.0 pp
ACF win10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SalPa 22.52

Casa share of expected goals 74.3%

Total expected goals3.39Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%

ACF0.87

Trasferta share of expected goals 25.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

SalPa 2

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

ACF

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Vinta probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.52
Expected goals
0.87
SalPa 2ACF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SalPa 2 signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ACF signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

SalPa 2 vs ACF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SalPa 2 vinta 76%,Pareggio 14%,ACF vinta 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Sopra 2.5 66% · Current selection Sopra