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BEL Belgium - 1. osztály A · Mérkőzés ·

Union Saint Gilloise vs Anderlecht

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem58%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem17%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Union Saint GilloiseAnderlecht
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt51% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
58% / 26% / 17%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Anderlecht win (16.7%)Dupla esély1X83.3%1.20
Felett 49% · Alatt 51%Goals 2.5Alatt51%1.96
Igen 42% · Nem 58%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem58%1.72
2.64 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.1 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Union Saint Gilloise win58%1.72
Döntetlen26%3.85
Anderlecht win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union Saint Gilloise1.98

Hazai share of expected goals 75%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 49% · Alatt 51%

Anderlecht0.66

Vendég share of expected goals 25%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 42% · Nem 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Union Saint Gilloise

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Anderlecht

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Nyert probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.98
Expected goals
0.66
Union Saint GilloiseAnderlecht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union Saint Gilloise signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Anderlecht signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Union Saint Gilloise vs Anderlecht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union Saint Gilloise nyer 58%,Döntetlen 26%,Anderlecht nyer 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · 2.5 felett 49% · Current selection Alatt