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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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ENG Angol EFL Cup · Mérkőzés ·

Burnley vs Notts County

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem37%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem37%
Baseline forecastVendég győzelemTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem37% selection probability
Projected score1–1BurnleyNotts County
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett51% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
37% / 26% / 37%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Dupla esély1274.2%1.35
Felett 51% · Alatt 49%Goals 2.5Felett51%1.96
Igen 55% · Nem 45%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.6 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Burnley win37%2.70
Döntetlen26%3.85
Notts County win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Burnley1.34

Hazai share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 51% · Alatt 49%

Notts County1.36

Vendég share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 55% · Nem 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Burnley

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Notts County

0.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontok1

SignalVendég matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Nyert probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
BurnleyNotts County
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Burnley signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Notts County signalVendég matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Burnley vs Notts County FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Burnley nyer 37%,Döntetlen 26%,Notts County nyer 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · 2.5 felett 51% · Current selection Felett