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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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HUN Magyarország - NB I · Round 5 ·

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.29 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem44%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem30%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Debreceni VSCMTK Budapest
Expected goals3.29Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett64% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
44% / 26% / 30%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dupla esély1273.9%1.35
Felett 64% · Alatt 36%Goals 2.5Felett64%1.56
Igen 64% · Nem 36%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen64%1.56
3.29 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
9.3 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Debreceni VSC win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp
Döntetlen26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
MTK Budapest win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Debreceni VSC1.91

Hazai share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals3.29Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 64% · Alatt 36%

MTK Budapest1.38

Vendég share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 64% · Nem 36%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Debreceni VSC

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

MTK Budapest

1.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Nyert probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.91
Expected goals
1.38
Debreceni VSCMTK Budapest
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Debreceni VSC signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MTK Budapest signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Debreceni VSC nyer 44%,Döntetlen 26%,MTK Budapest nyer 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · 2.5 felett 64% · Current selection Felett