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NLD Hollandia - Eerste Divisie · Mérkőzés ·

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–22.96 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem27%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem46%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem46% selection probability
Projected score1–2Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett57% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
27% / 27% / 46%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dupla esély1272.9%1.37
Felett 57% · Alatt 43%Goals 2.5Felett57%1.75
Igen 58% · Nem 42%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen58%1.72
2.96 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–2
10.7 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Helmond Sport win27%3.70
Döntetlen27%3.70
De Graafschap win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Helmond Sport1.17

Hazai share of expected goals 39.5%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 57% · Alatt 43%

De Graafschap1.79

Vendég share of expected goals 60.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitIgen 58% · Nem 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Helmond Sport

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Nyert probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.17
Expected goals
1.79
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Helmond Sport signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02De Graafschap signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Helmond Sport nyer 27%,Döntetlen 27%,De Graafschap nyer 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · 2.5 felett 57% · Current selection Felett