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ENG England National League North · Fixture ·

Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Away form
Home win21%
Draw25%
Away win54%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win54% selection probability
Projected score1–1Scarborough AthleticSouth Shields
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
21% / 25% / 54%Match resultAway win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Scarborough Athletic win (20.9%)Double chanceX279.1%1.26
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.35 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSouth Shields winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Scarborough Athletic win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
South Shields win54%1.851.6554.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Scarborough Athletic0.90

Home share of expected goals 38.3%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

South Shields1.45

Away share of expected goals 61.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Scarborough Athletic

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

South Shields

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Win probability excluding draw
54%
7
Points from supplied form
7
0.90
Expected goals
1.45
Scarborough AthleticSouth Shields
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Scarborough Athletic signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Shields signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Scarborough Athletic win 21%,Draw 25%,South Shields win 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under