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WAL Wales Championship South · Fixture ·

Pontypridd Utd vs Pontardawe Town

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.05 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw24%
Away win27%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Pontypridd UtdPontardawe Town
Expected goals3.05Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 24% / 27%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Double chance1276.3%1.31
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.05 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pontypridd Utd win49%2.041.8049.9%
Draw24%4.173.8023.6%
Pontardawe Town win27%3.703.4026.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pontypridd Utd1.74

Home share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals3.05Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Pontardawe Town1.31

Away share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Pontypridd Utd

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Pontardawe Town

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.74
Expected goals
1.31
Pontypridd UtdPontardawe Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pontypridd Utd signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pontardawe Town signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Pontypridd Utd vs Pontardawe Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pontypridd Utd win 49%,Draw 24%,Pontardawe Town win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over